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Prevalence of Earth-size planets orbiting Sun-like stars — Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

Revision d06ffb66-cef6-4712-95e8-feae6b759cd3 · 11/5/2026, 10:48:52 PM UTC
Key
petigura2013prevalence
Authors
Petigura, Erik A.; Howard, Andrew W.; Marcy, Geoffrey W.
Issued
2013-11-26
Type
article-journal
Container
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
Volume
110
Issue
48
Pages
19273-19278
Raw CSL JSON
{
  "DOI": "10.1073/pnas.1319909110",
  "URL": "https://arxiv.org/abs/1311.6806",
  "page": "19273-19278",
  "type": "article-journal",
  "issue": "48",
  "title": "Prevalence of Earth-size planets orbiting Sun-like stars",
  "author": [
    {
      "given": "Erik A.",
      "family": "Petigura"
    },
    {
      "given": "Andrew W.",
      "family": "Howard"
    },
    {
      "given": "Geoffrey W.",
      "family": "Marcy"
    }
  ],
  "issued": {
    "date-parts": [
      [
        2013,
        11,
        26
      ]
    ]
  },
  "volume": "110",
  "accessed": {
    "date-parts": [
      [
        2026,
        11,
        5
      ]
    ]
  },
  "container-title": "Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences"
}

Claims

  1. Searching Kepler data for 42,000 Sun-like stars, the authors found 603 planets, 10 of them Earth-size (1–2 Earth radii) and receiving comparable starlight. Correcting for missed planets, they estimate 11 ± 4% of Sun-like stars have an Earth-size planet receiving 1–4 times Earth's starlight; extrapolating to longer orbits, 22 ± 8% have one in the habitable zone (0.25–4 times Earth's starlight), and the nearest may lie within 12 light-years.
  2. The authors note that the extrapolation carries less weight than a direct measurement, that habitability depends on planet-specific properties, and that their flux-based habitable zone includes Venus and Mars, which have no surface liquid water today.
    Locator: section: Discussion
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